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Molina vs EF Alhama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Molina
15%
Draws
36%
EF Alhama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EF Alhama lately — more wins on the board than Molina.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Molina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Molina Clean Sheet 10%
EF Alhama Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molina EF Alhama
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molina vs EF Alhama
1:1
Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EF Alhama vs Molina
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molina 34 / 100
EF Alhama 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molina EF Alhama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EF Alhama conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Molina scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

EF Alhama lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molina VS EF Alhama
1 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Molina

(Home)
04 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Molina
14 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Molina
09 May
Molina
1 : 2
Futbol Club Jumilla
03 May
Molina
0 : 5
E.G. El Palmar
26 Apr
Club Edeco Fortuna
0 : 3
Molina
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EF Alhama

(Away)
12 May
EF Alhama
1 : 3
Deportiva Minera
07 May
EDMF Churra
3 : 2
EF Alhama
01 May
EF Alhama
2 : 4
Ciudad de Murcia
24 Apr
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
3 : 1
EF Alhama
16 Apr
EF Alhama
5 : 3
Huercal-Overa CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Futbol Club Jumilla 34 22 6 6 60:29 72
2 Real Murcia B 34 19 12 3 56:20 69
3 Huercal-Overa CF 34 21 5 8 58:32 68
4 Aguilas FC 34 18 10 6 66:30 64
5 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 3 12 47:32 60
6 Yeclano 34 16 8 10 56:43 56
7 Deportiva Minera 34 13 11 10 43:42 50
8 La Union CF 34 14 5 15 44:46 47
9 Pinatar 34 12 9 13 42:44 45
10 Plus Ultra 34 12 7 15 50:59 43
11 Muleno CF 34 10 9 15 43:41 39
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 11 6 17 44:51 39
13 Caravaca 34 10 8 16 37:48 38
14 Club Edeco Fortuna 34 8 14 12 48:61 38
15 EF Alhama 34 8 11 15 39:56 35
16 Cartagena FC UCAM 34 9 8 17 36:58 35
17 Molina 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
18 Ciudad Cieza 34 4 5 25 23:77 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)