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Molinense vs Alcantarilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Molinense host Alcantarilla in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Molinense have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.09 conceded recently, against Alcantarilla's 0.87 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Molinense slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 23, 2025, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.73 xG vs 0.98) point toward Molinense. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Molinense
35%
Draws
34%
Alcantarilla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molinense lately — more wins on the board than Alcantarilla.
  • Model gives Molinense a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Molinense Clean Sheet 20%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molinense Alcantarilla
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.47 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Alcantarilla
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Molinense
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Alcantarilla
3:0
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Molinense
1:0
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Alcantarilla
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molinense 36 / 100
Alcantarilla 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molinense Alcantarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Molinense's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Alcantarilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Molinense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molinense VS Alcantarilla
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Molinense

(Home)
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Molinense
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
Page 1 of 7

Alcantarilla

(Away)
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)