Sport Picks
Molinense vs Alcantarilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 
Match Events
39'
39'
Garcia K.
58'
58'
Pinto L.
64'
64'
Agullo F.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 game between Molinense and Alcantarilla finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molinense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Molinense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Molinense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Molinense Clean Sheet 20%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Molinense | Alcantarilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.73 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Alcantarilla
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Molinense
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Alcantarilla
3:0
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Molinense
1:0
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Alcantarilla
7:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Molinense Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinto L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Agullo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36
Alcantarilla Compare
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Molinense 36 / 100
Alcantarilla 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Molinense Alcantarilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Molinense's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Alcantarilla conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
Molinense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Molinense VS Alcantarilla
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Molinense
(Home) 04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Molinense
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2 Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0 Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2 San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4 Molinense
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2 Mazarron FC
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2 San Javier
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2 Club Olimpico de Totana
03 May
Molinense
2 : 0 Yeclano B
19 Apr
Molinense
1 : 1 CA Pulpileno
Page 1 of 3
Alcantarilla
(Away) 04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1 Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1 Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0 Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0 CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1 Alcantarilla
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Alcantarilla
11 May
CA Pulpileno
4 : 0 Alcantarilla
27 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
3 : 0 Alcantarilla
13 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
0 : 0 Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:22 | 78 |
| 2 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 73:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 54:24 | 67 |
| 4 | Santomera | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 66:42 | 62 |
| 5 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:23 | 62 |
| 6 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:23 | 55 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 8 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44:31 | 49 |
| 9 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:45 | 46 |
| 10 | Bala Azul | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 34:27 | 44 |
| 11 | Caravaca | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 12 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:57 | 37 |
| 13 | Muleno CF | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | 37 |
| 14 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 27:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Minerva | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:45 | 34 |
| 16 | Bullense | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29:58 | 30 |
| 17 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 21:65 | 28 |
| 18 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 23:92 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
