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Molinense vs CA Pulpileno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Hernandez V.
90' Event
Hernandez R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Molinense
35%
Draws
32%
CA Pulpileno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Molinense have won more games recently than CA Pulpileno.
  • Molinense are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Molinense Clean Sheet 68%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molinense CA Pulpileno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.48 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs CA Pulpileno
1:1
Jan 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Molinense
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Molinense
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs CA Pulpileno
3:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs CA Pulpileno
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

CA Pulpileno Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molinense 51 / 100
CA Pulpileno 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molinense CA Pulpileno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Molinense scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Molinense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CA Pulpileno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Molinense VS CA Pulpileno
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Molinense

(Home)
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Molinense
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
Page 1 of 6

CA Pulpileno

(Away)
04 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Santomera
27 Sept
Cotillas CD
1 : 2
CA Pulpileno
20 Sept
CA Pulpileno
0 : 0
Bullas Deportivo
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)