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Molinense vs E.G. El Palmar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Molinense Logo

Molinense

3 - 0
FT
E.G. El Palmar Logo

E.G. El Palmar

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Rubio I.
30' Event
Rubio I.
51' Event
Rubio I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Molinense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Molinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Molinense
20%
Draws
10%
E.G. El Palmar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Molinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Molinense have won more games recently than E.G. El Palmar.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Molinense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Molinense Clean Sheet 68%
E.G. El Palmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molinense E.G. El Palmar
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.45 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs E.G. El Palmar
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Molinense
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Molinense
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs E.G. El Palmar
2:2
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs E.G. El Palmar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio I.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

E.G. El Palmar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molinense 95 / 100
E.G. El Palmar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molinense E.G. El Palmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Molinense scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

E.G. El Palmar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Molinense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molinense VS E.G. El Palmar
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Molinense

(Home)
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2
Club Olimpico de Totana
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E.G. El Palmar

(Away)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 4
UCAM Murcia B
12 Apr
Mazarron FC
4 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)