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Molinense vs Santa Cruz

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Rubio I.
69'
Hernandez J.
69'
Hernandez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Molinense and Santa Cruz finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Molinense
30%
Draws
37%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Molinense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Molinense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Molinense Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molinense Santa Cruz
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Santa Cruz
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs Molinense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agullo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molinense 46 / 100
Santa Cruz 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molinense Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molinense's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Santa Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Molinense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molinense VS Santa Cruz
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Molinense

(Home)
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2
Club Olimpico de Totana
Page 1 of 7

Santa Cruz

(Away)
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz
10 May
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)