Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Vazquez L.
Own Goal
75'
75'
Lopez S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Xerez CD
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Molinense average 1.37 goals a game right now, well clear of Xerez CD's 0.87.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Molinense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Molinense Clean Sheet 27%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Molinense | Xerez CD |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
Molinense vs Xerez CD
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Molinense Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Xerez CD Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Molinense 33 / 100
Xerez CD 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Molinense Xerez CD
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Xerez CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Molinense scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Molinense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Xerez CD let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Molinense VS Xerez CD
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Molinense
(Home) 24 May
Molinense
0 : 2 Club Olimpico de Totana
17 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
0 : 0 Molinense
10 May
Real Murcia B
0 : 2 Molinense
03 May
Molinense
2 : 0 Yeclano B
26 Apr
Minerva
2 : 0 Molinense
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2 Club Olimpico de Totana
03 May
Molinense
2 : 0 Yeclano B
19 Apr
Molinense
1 : 1 CA Pulpileno
02 Apr
Molinense
3 : 3 UCAM Murcia B
22 Mar
Molinense
3 : 0 E.G. El Palmar
Page 1 of 3
Xerez CD
(Away) 14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0 Xerez CD
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1 Xerez CD
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0 AD Ceuta B
17 May
Conquense
0 : 0 Xerez CD
09 May
Xerez CD
1 : 1 Conquense
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0 Xerez CD
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1 Xerez CD
17 May
Conquense
0 : 0 Xerez CD
26 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0 Xerez CD
12 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Xerez CD
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
Laguna Tenerife 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0
