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Mollerussa vs CF Vilanova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Grima F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 game between Mollerussa and CF Vilanova finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Vilanova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mollerussa
35%
Draws
37%
CF Vilanova
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CF Vilanova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CF Vilanova come out ahead of Mollerussa on wins alone.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Mollerussa taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mollerussa Clean Sheet 68%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mollerussa CF Vilanova
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs CF Vilanova
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Mollerussa
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs CF Vilanova
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mollerussa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

CF Vilanova Compare

Top Goalscorer Grima F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mollerussa 50 / 100
CF Vilanova 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mollerussa CF Vilanova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mollerussa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Vilanova has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Mollerussa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mollerussa scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mollerussa VS CF Vilanova
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mollerussa

(Home)
27 Sept
Mollerussa
1 : 1
Cornella
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
10 May
CE Europa B
0 : 3
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 6

CF Vilanova

(Away)
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
CF Vilanova
1 : 1
Peralada
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
CF Vilanova
2 : 2
L Hospitalet
26 Aug
Terrassa
0 : 0
CF Vilanova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Badalona 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
2 Montanesa 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 CE Europa B 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
4 CF Vilanova 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 FE Grama 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Pobla Mafumet 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 L Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
8 Cornella 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 FC Lescala 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
10 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
11 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 FC Martinenc 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
13 Cerdanyola del Valles 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
14 CE Atletic Lleida 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
15 Mollerussa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
16 San Cristobal CP 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
17 UE Tona 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
18 Vilassar de Mar 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)