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Mollerussa vs Lleida

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Mollerussa Logo

Mollerussa

0 - 0
FT
Lleida Logo

Lleida

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mollerussa
35%
Draws
22%
Lleida
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mollerussa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mollerussa lately — more wins on the board than Lleida.
  • Mollerussa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lleida have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mollerussa Clean Sheet 20%
Lleida Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mollerussa Lleida
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 9 2
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.14 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Lleida
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Lleida vs Mollerussa
2:0
Aug 24, 2023 Club Friendly
Lleida vs Mollerussa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mollerussa 76 / 100
Lleida 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mollerussa Lleida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mollerussa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mollerussa scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Lleida has conceded goals in 75% of their last 20 outings.

Mollerussa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mollerussa VS Lleida
1.14 Goals Scored 0.13
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.38
57% Over 1.5 13%
57% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mollerussa

(Home)
10 May
CE Europa B
0 : 3
Mollerussa
03 May
Mollerussa
1 : 2
FE Grama
26 Apr
UE Tona
0 : 0
Mollerussa
19 Apr
Mollerussa
0 : 0
Lleida
12 Apr
CF Vilanova
2 : 2
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 6

Lleida

(Away)
10 May
Lleida
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
03 May
FC Lescala
4 : 1
Lleida
26 Apr
Lleida
1 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
19 Apr
Mollerussa
0 : 0
Lleida
12 Apr
Lleida
0 : 0
San Cristobal CP
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)