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Mollerussa vs Vilassar de Mar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Garcia F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Mollerussa and Vilassar de Mar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilassar de Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mollerussa
35%
Draws
41%
Vilassar de Mar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vilassar de Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mollerussa come out ahead of Vilassar de Mar on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mollerussa Clean Sheet 24%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mollerussa Vilassar de Mar
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.14 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Mollerussa
0:2
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Vilassar de Mar
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Vilassar de Mar
3:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Mollerussa
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Vilassar de Mar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mollerussa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mollerussa 37 / 100
Vilassar de Mar 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mollerussa Vilassar de Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilassar de Mar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mollerussa scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Vilassar de Mar conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mollerussa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mollerussa VS Vilassar de Mar
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mollerussa

(Home)
10 May
CE Europa B
0 : 3
Mollerussa
03 May
Mollerussa
1 : 2
FE Grama
26 Apr
UE Tona
0 : 0
Mollerussa
19 Apr
Mollerussa
0 : 0
Lleida
12 Apr
CF Vilanova
2 : 2
Mollerussa
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Vilassar de Mar

(Away)
10 May
FE Grama
1 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
03 May
Vilassar de Mar
3 : 1
UE Tona
26 Apr
Lleida
1 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
18 Apr
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
CF Vilanova
12 Apr
FC Lescala
1 : 4
Vilassar de Mar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)