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Mollerussa vs Vilassar de Mar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Garcia F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Mollerussa and Vilassar de Mar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilassar de Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mollerussa
15%
Draws
26%
Vilassar de Mar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mollerussa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mollerussa come out ahead of Vilassar de Mar on wins alone.
  • Mollerussa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Mollerussa Clean Sheet 68%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mollerussa Vilassar de Mar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Mollerussa
0:2
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Vilassar de Mar
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Vilassar de Mar
3:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Mollerussa
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Vilassar de Mar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mollerussa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mollerussa 95 / 100
Vilassar de Mar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mollerussa Vilassar de Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mollerussa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilassar de Mar let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mollerussa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vilassar de Mar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mollerussa VS Vilassar de Mar
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mollerussa

(Home)
27 Sept
Mollerussa
1 : 1
Cornella
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
10 May
CE Europa B
0 : 3
Mollerussa
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Vilassar de Mar

(Away)
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
30 Aug
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
Espanyol B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)