Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Molodechno vs BATE

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup Molodechno Haradzki Stadion, Molodechno
Molodechno Logo

Molodechno

1 - 4
FT
BATE Logo

BATE

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rusakov E.
18' Event
Rusakov E.
45' Event
Yatskevich V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Molodechno
35%
Draws
24%
BATE
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Molodechno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Molodechno come out ahead of BATE on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Molodechno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Molodechno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor BATE, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors BATE here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Molodechno Clean Sheet 20%
BATE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molodechno BATE
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.34 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Molodechno vs BATE
1:4
Aug 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Molodechno
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Molodechno vs BATE
0:1
Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly
BATE vs Molodechno
5:0
Aug 2, 2003 Vysshaya Liga
Molodechno vs BATE
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molodechno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gruzhevskiy D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

BATE Compare

Top Goalscorer Rusakov E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yatskevich V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molodechno 85 / 100
BATE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molodechno BATE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Molodechno's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

BATE has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Molodechno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molodechno VS BATE
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Molodechno

(Home)
10 Aug
Orsha
0 : 3
Molodechno
06 Aug
Molodechno
2 : 2
Volna Pinsk
01 Aug
Molodechno
3 : 0
Smorgon
26 Jul
BumProm Gomel
0 : 1
Molodechno
11 Jul
Molodechno
2 : 3
FC Minsk 2
Page 1 of 6

BATE

(Away)
09 Aug
FK Baranovici
2 : 2
BATE
30 Jul
Sion
4 : 0
BATE
23 Jul
BATE
1 : 1
Sion
16 Jul
BATE
1 : 0
AF Elbasani
07 Jul
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
BATE
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn 3
FK Lida 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
BGU Minsk 0
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Technolog Mogilev 0
FC Slonim 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
FK Baranovici -
Bobovnya 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Leskhoz 0
Soligorsk 3
TBD -
Neman -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 7
TBD -
Naftan -
Urozhaynaya 0
Molodechno 3
TBD -
BATE -
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Volna Pinsk 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Stanles Pinsk 1
Krumkachy 4
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Neman Mosty 1
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Krechet 0
Ostrovets 8
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Ivatsevichi 1
Slutsk 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Minskoe More 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Vertical Kalinkovichi 0
Smorgon 7
TBD -
FC Minsk -
1/16-finals
FK Lida 0
Zhodino 4
Osipovichi 1
Dnepr Mogilev 3
FC Slonim 0
Isloch Minsk 1
Uni X Labs 1
FK Baranovici 4
BumProm Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Soligorsk 1
Neman 2
Orsha 3
Naftan 2
Molodechno 1
BATE 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 5
Krumkachy 0
Dynamo Brest 5
Niva Dolbizno 2
FC Gomel 3
Ostrovets 2
Vitebsk 3
Slutsk 0
Din. Minsk 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Belshina 8
Smorgon 3
FC Minsk 4
1/8-finals
Zhodino 1
Dnepr Mogilev 2
Isloch Minsk 1
FK Baranovici 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2
Neman 3
Orsha -
BATE -
Slavia Mozyr 2
Dynamo Brest 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk -
ML Vitebsk -
Belshina 1
FC Minsk 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -