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Monaco vs Auxerre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Louis II, Monaco
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monaco host Auxerre in the Ligue 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Auxerre have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Monaco have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.87. Head-to-head, Monaco have won 4 to Auxerre's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.81 - 1.25) back Monaco to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Monaco
20%
Draws
40%
Auxerre
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Monaco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Monaco are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Monaco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Monaco Clean Sheet 19%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monaco Auxerre
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.87 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Auxerre
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Coupe de France
Auxerre vs Monaco
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Monaco
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Auxerre
4:2
Sep 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Monaco
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monaco 76 / 100
Auxerre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monaco Auxerre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monaco scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Auxerre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Monaco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monaco VS Auxerre
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Monaco

(Home)
05 Nov
Monaco
2 : 0
Nordsjaelland
01 Nov
Paris FC
3 : 1
Monaco
25 Oct
Monaco
1 : 1
Lille
22 Oct
Monaco
3 : 0
Freiburg
18 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Monaco
Page 1 of 7

Auxerre

(Away)
01 Nov
Strasbourg
5 : 1
Auxerre
25 Oct
Auxerre
1 : 1
Le Mans
18 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 3
Auxerre
11 Oct
Rennes
4 : 1
Auxerre
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Toulouse 10 3 4 3 15:14 13
11 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
12 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
13 Strasbourg 10 3 1 6 18:22 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)