Sport Picks
Monagas vs Estudiantes Merida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Venezuela
Liga FUTVE Estadio Monumental de Maturín, Maturín 
AI Match Summary
Monagas host Estudiantes Merida in the Liga FUTVE. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Monagas have averaged 1.39 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Estudiantes Merida's 1.14 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Monagas have won 1 to Estudiantes Merida's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.13) back Estudiantes Merida to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Monagas average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Estudiantes Merida's 1.14.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Monagas taking it.
- Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Estudiantes Merida here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monagas | Estudiantes Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estudiantes Merida has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Monagas found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Monagas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Monagas
(Home)Estudiantes Merida
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24:9 | 28 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 23 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 16 |
| 8 | Universidad Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Monagas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Caracas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:23 | 11 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 11 |
| 13 | Zamora | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6:20 | 5 |
