Sport Picks

Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2025 Estadio Monumental de Maturín

Monagas

1 - 0

Zamora

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Anderson E.

55'

Sub

Manenti F. In: Moreno J.

Out: Manenti F.

57'

Sub

Contreras A. In: Carrion E.

Out: Contreras A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2025 game between Monagas and Zamora finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monagas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Monagas

30%

Draws

34%

Zamora

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Zamora come out ahead of Monagas on wins alone.
Monagas are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Regular Liga FUTVE 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Monagas Clean Sheet 20%

Zamora Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Monagas	Zamora
Matches Played	25	24
Wins	5	10
Draws	4	6
Losses	16	8
Goals Scored	1.5	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga FUTVE

Zamora vs Monagas

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Nov 8, 2025 Liga FUTVE

Monagas vs Zamora

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Oct 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE

Zamora vs Monagas

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Aug 23, 2025 Liga FUTVE

Zamora vs Monagas

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 0 - 4

2:3

Mar 14, 2025 Liga FUTVE

Monagas vs Zamora

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalobos J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Zamora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 36 / 100

Zamora 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Monagas Zamora

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monagas scored in 68% of their last 25 outings.

Defensive concern: Zamora conceded in 67% of 24 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Monagas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Zamora

1.5 Goals Scored 1.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Academia Puerto Cabello	5	4	1	0	11:4	13
2	Deportivo La Guaira	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
3	Zamora	5	2	1	2	5:5	7
4	Monagas	6	1	0	5	5:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Carabobo	6	4	2	0	10:2	14
2	Caracas	6	2	3	1	7:7	9
3	Dep. Tachira	6	1	3	2	7:7	6
4	Metropolitanos	6	0	2	4	4:12	2