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Monaghan United vs Bray

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division 2012
Sat, Oct 13, 2012
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monaghan United host Bray in the Premier Division 2012. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Monaghan United have averaged 0.91 scored and 2.09 conceded recently, against Bray's 1.93 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Bray slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2012, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.99, favoring Bray. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Monaghan United
20%
Draws
29%
Bray
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monaghan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bray come out ahead of Monaghan United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Monaghan United a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 10%
Bray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monaghan United Bray
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 3 13
Draws 1 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.91 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Bray
0:0
Jul 27, 2012 Premier Division
Bray vs Monaghan United
0:0
Apr 27, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Bray
0:1
Nov 8, 2010 Premier Division
Bray vs Monaghan United
2:1
Nov 5, 2010 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Bray
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monaghan United 47 / 100
Bray 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monaghan United Bray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monaghan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monaghan United scored in 60% of their last 10 games.

Defensive concern: Bray conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Monaghan United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Bray registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bray
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Monaghan United

(Home)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3

Bray

(Away)
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
14 Aug
Galway United
2 : 1
Bray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sligo Rovers 30 17 10 3 53:23 61
2 Drogheda 30 17 6 7 51:36 57
3 St. Patricks 30 15 10 5 44:22 55
4 Shamrock Rovers 30 14 10 6 56:37 52
5 Derry City 30 11 6 13 36:36 39
6 Cork City 30 8 12 10 38:36 36
7 Bohemians 30 9 9 12 35:38 36
8 Shelbourne 30 9 8 13 35:43 35
9 UC Dublin 30 8 7 15 32:48 31
10 Bray 30 5 10 15 33:54 25
11 Dundalk 30 4 8 18 23:63 20
12 Monaghan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Relegation - Division 1 2012 (Promotion)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)