Sport Picks
Monaghan United vs Carlow Prediction & H2H Stats
Ireland
FAI Cup 2010 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Monaghan United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monaghan United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Monaghan United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Monaghan United are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Monaghan United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Monaghan United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 68%
Carlow Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monaghan United | Carlow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 9 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 2.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 29, 2010 FAI Cup
Monaghan United vs Carlow
2:1
Jun 6, 2010 FAI Cup
Carlow vs Monaghan United
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monaghan United 86 / 100
Carlow 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monaghan United Carlow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monaghan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carlow has conceded goals in 89% of their last 9 outings.
Monaghan United found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (13 games).
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Solid form: Monaghan United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Monaghan United VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Monaghan United
(Home) 26 Aug
Monaghan United
: St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4 St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3 Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2 Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3
26 Aug
Monaghan United
: St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4 St. Patricks
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
15 May
Monaghan United
1 : 4 Derry City
27 Apr
Monaghan United
0 : 1 Bray
Page 1 of 2
Carlow
(Away) 17 Apr
Sacred Heart
2 : 1 Carlow
28 Mar
Shelbourne
4 : 0 Carlow
29 Jun
Monaghan United
2 : 1 Carlow
06 Jun
Carlow
1 : 1 Monaghan United
16 May
Carlow
1 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
Page 1 of 2
17 Apr
Sacred Heart
2 : 1 Carlow
28 Mar
Shelbourne
4 : 0 Carlow
29 Jun
Monaghan United
2 : 1 Carlow
27 Mar
Tullamore
3 : 2 Carlow
23 May
Blarney Utd
2 : 1 Carlow
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Glenville 1
Bohemians 7
Dublin Bus 0
Shelbourne 2
Drogheda 1
UC Dublin 2
Bray 4
Derry City 3
Finn Harps 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Athlone 0
Cork City 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Monaghan United 3
Carlow 2
Longford 1
Waterford 0
Shamrock Rovers 5
Wexford 1
Galway United 5
Malahide United 0
Tullamore 1
Salthill 3
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 1
Belgrove 2
Avondale United 1
Limerick 3
Tolka 1
Mervue United 1
Sporting Fingal 5
1/8-finals
Bohemians 1
Shelbourne 0
UC Dublin 2
Bray 3
Finn Harps 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Monaghan United 1
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 4
Salthill 2
St. Patricks 2
Belgrove 0
Limerick 2
Sporting Fingal 3
Quarter-finals
Bohemians 3
Bray 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Monaghan United 0
Shamrock Rovers 6
Galway United 0
St. Patricks 3
Sporting Fingal 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
St. Patricks 2
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 0
