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Monaghan United vs Drogheda

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division 2012
Fri, Sep 21, 2012
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monaghan United host Drogheda in the Premier Division 2012. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Monaghan United at 0.91 goals for, 2.09 against; Drogheda at 1.34 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Monaghan United have won 1 to Drogheda's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 21, 2012, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 1.11) back Drogheda to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Monaghan United
15%
Draws
39%
Drogheda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monaghan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Drogheda lately — more wins on the board than Monaghan United.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Monaghan United taking it.
  • Regular Premier Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 20%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monaghan United Drogheda
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 1 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 0.91 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Drogheda
0:0
Jul 6, 2012 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Monaghan United
0:0
Apr 6, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Drogheda
0:1
Feb 23, 2001 Division 1
Drogheda vs Monaghan United
1:1
Dec 17, 2000 Division 1
Monaghan United vs Drogheda
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monaghan United 40 / 100
Drogheda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monaghan United Drogheda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monaghan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monaghan United found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (10 games).

Drogheda let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Monaghan United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Drogheda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Drogheda
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monaghan United

(Home)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3

Drogheda

(Away)
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sligo Rovers 30 17 10 3 53:23 61
2 Drogheda 30 17 6 7 51:36 57
3 St. Patricks 30 15 10 5 44:22 55
4 Shamrock Rovers 30 14 10 6 56:37 52
5 Derry City 30 11 6 13 36:36 39
6 Cork City 30 8 12 10 38:36 36
7 Bohemians 30 9 9 12 35:38 36
8 Shelbourne 30 9 8 13 35:43 35
9 UC Dublin 30 8 7 15 32:48 31
10 Bray 30 5 10 15 33:54 25
11 Dundalk 30 4 8 18 23:63 20
12 Monaghan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Relegation - Division 1 2012 (Promotion)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)