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Monarhs vs Balvu SC

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Monarhs advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Monarhs
15%
Draws
0%
Balvu SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monarhs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Monarhs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Monarhs taking it.
  • Monarhs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Monarhs, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Monarhs Clean Sheet 20%
Balvu SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monarhs Balvu SC
Matches Played 11 32
Wins 6 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 30
Goals Scored 3.73 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.36 5.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2017 Latvian Cup
Monarhs vs Balvu SC
6:0
Jul 5, 2015 Latvian Cup
Monarhs vs Balvu SC
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monarhs 85 / 100
Balvu SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monarhs Balvu SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monarhs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monarhs's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Balvu SC let in goals in 97% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Balvu SC's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Balvu SC
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 4.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Monarhs

(Home)
25 May
LDZ Cargo/DFA
7 : 0
Monarhs
16 Jun
Monarhs
2 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
09 Jul
Monarhs
1 : 9
Ventspils
02 Jul
Monarhs
12 : 0
JFC Dobele
25 Jun
Monarhs
6 : 0
Balvu SC
Page 1 of 3

Balvu SC

(Away)
10 Nov
Balvu SC
0 : 2
Super Nova
02 Nov
Dinamo Riga
7 : 1
Balvu SC
26 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 4
FK Smiltene
19 Oct
Rezekne
5 : 2
Balvu SC
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas 2
FK Sirius 0
TBD -
Aliance -
DSVK Traktors 2
Salaspils FK 1
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
BFK Salaspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caramba -
TBD -
TBD -
Nica FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Priekuli -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
RTU -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele 1
Ludzas NSS 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Balvu SC 5
FK Limbazi 0
FK Alberts 1
Monarhs 2
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 10
FK Salacgriva 0
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 3
SK Cesis 0
Bauskas / Memele 0
Gulbene 3
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
FK Roja / Kolka 1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
New Project 0
Upesciems 2
Super Nova -
TBD -
Super Nova -
Nikers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/32-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas 2
Aliance 1
DSVK Traktors 0
Preilu BJSS 6
Jekabpils SC 8
Lielupe 1
BFK Salaspils 0
Fk Jurnieks Riga 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caramba 1
Nica FC 0
TBD -
Grobina -
Valmiera 8
Priekuli 0
Ogre 1
RTU 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele -
Tukums 2000 -
Balvu SC 0
Monarhs 6
BFC Daugavpils -
Alberts JDFS -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 0
Rezekne 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 5
Gulbene 1
FK Auda Riga -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine -
Upesciems -
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 1
Nikers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/16-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
Preilu BJSS 6
Jekabpils SC 5
Fk Jurnieks Riga 2
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Caramba 4
Grobina 5
Valmiera 2
RTU 1
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
JFC Dobele 0
Monarhs 12
BFC Daugavpils 2
Rezekne 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 5
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine 7
Nikers 0
TBD -
RFS -
1/8-finals
Riga FC 5
Preilu BJSS 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Jelgava 8
Spartaks Jurmala 2
Grobina 0
Valmiera 0
FK Metta 3
Ventspils 9
Monarhs 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
FK Liepaja 1
FK Karosta -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine 0
RFS 4
Quarter-finals
Riga FC 3
Jelgava 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Metta 0
Ventspils 1
FK Liepaja 2
FK Karosta 0
RFS 7
Semi-finals
Riga FC 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 4
RFS 1
Final
Riga FC 0
FK Liepaja 2