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Monarhs vs FK Auda Riga

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
64' Event
85' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with FK Auda Riga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Monarhs
20%
Draws
52%
FK Auda Riga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Monarhs haven't matched FK Auda Riga's recent run of results.
  • Monarhs are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • FK Auda Riga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Auda Riga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monarhs Clean Sheet 19%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monarhs FK Auda Riga
Matches Played 11 37
Wins 6 25
Draws 0 5
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 3.73 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2015 Latvian Cup
Monarhs vs FK Auda Riga
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monarhs 36 / 100
FK Auda Riga 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monarhs FK Auda Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monarhs scored in 90% of their last 10 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

FK Auda Riga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 37 matches.

Monarhs went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Auda Riga
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monarhs

(Home)
25 May
LDZ Cargo/DFA
7 : 0
Monarhs
16 Jun
Monarhs
2 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
09 Jul
Monarhs
1 : 9
Ventspils
02 Jul
Monarhs
12 : 0
JFC Dobele
25 Jun
Monarhs
6 : 0
Balvu SC
Page 1 of 3

FK Auda Riga

(Away)
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
TBD -
Super Nova 0
Grobina 3
Saldus -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adazi -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Upesciems -
TBD -
TBD -
Fortuna -
FK Bandava -
TBD -
TBD -
Salaspils FK -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Lacplesis -
Balvu SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Monarhs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 4
Ludzas NSS 1
TBD -
Ogre -
Lielupe 2
Priekuli 1
TBD -
Valmiera -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
Marienburg -
Riga United 3
Rinuzi 0
TBD -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Dobele -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
Bebri -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Preilu BJSS -
TBD -
Nica FC 1
Kuldigas NSS 3
JFC Dobele -
TBD -
TBD -
Compact.LV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS 10
Grobina 0
Saldus 0
Riga FC 5
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
Adazi 1
SK Babite 3
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Upesciems 6
Fortuna 1
FK Bandava 0
Salaspils FK 3
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Lacplesis 0
Balvu SC 1
Monarhs 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 3
Ogre 0
Lielupe 0
Valmiera 7
Rezekne -
Marienburg -
Riga United 1
Jekabpils SC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Dobele 1
FK Alberts 0
Bebri 1
Alberts JDFS 3
Preilu BJSS 4
Kuldigas NSS 0
JFC Dobele 0
Compact.LV 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
AFA Olaine 5
Tukums 2000 2
FK Smiltene 1
SK Babite 3
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
Upesciems 0
Salaspils FK 3
FK Auda Riga 3
Monarhs 1
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 1
Valmiera 10
Rezekne 2
Jekabpils SC 1
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
FK Dobele 1
Alberts JDFS 8
Preilu BJSS 5
Compact.LV 2
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 1
Riga FC 0
AFA Olaine 0
SK Babite 1
FK Liepaja 4
Salaspils FK 0
FK Auda Riga 0
Ventspils 7
BFC Daugavpils 2
Valmiera 0
Rezekne 0
FK Metta 4
Skonto 4
Alberts JDFS 0
Preilu BJSS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 6
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 3
SK Babite 2
FK Liepaja 0
Ventspils 1
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Metta 0
Skonto 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
Final
Jelgava 1
Spartaks Jurmala 0