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Monastir vs Metlaoui

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet, Monastir
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Match Events

12' Event
Mnasri H.
40'
'

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between Monastir and Metlaoui finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metlaoui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Monastir
20%
Draws
17%
Metlaoui
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monastir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monastir come out ahead of Metlaoui on wins alone.
  • Model gives Monastir a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Monastir Clean Sheet 68%
Metlaoui Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monastir Metlaoui
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs Metlaoui
0:1
Nov 5, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Monastir
2:2
May 11, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs Metlaoui
1:1
Jan 4, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Monastir
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Tunisia Cup
Metlaoui vs Monastir
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monastir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Metlaoui Compare

Top Goalscorer Mnasri H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monastir 95 / 100
Metlaoui 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monastir Metlaoui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monastir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monastir went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Metlaoui has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Monastir scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monastir VS Metlaoui
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monastir

(Home)
16 Sept
Zarzis
1 : 2
Monastir
12 Sept
Monastir
3 : 3
Ben Guerdane
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1
Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
14 May
Monastir
3 : 0
Soliman
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Metlaoui

(Away)
13 Sept
Jeunesse Sportive
1 : 0
Metlaoui
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
23 Aug
Metlaoui
0 : 1
Club Africain
17 May
Metlaoui
1 : 3
Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 30 19 9 2 43:10 66
2 Esperance Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 63
3 CS Sfaxien 30 18 8 4 44:13 62
4 Stade Tunisien 30 12 12 6 28:14 48
5 Monastir 30 11 12 7 28:19 45
6 Zarzis 30 11 8 11 30:28 41
7 Etoile Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 41
8 Metlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 40
9 Jeunesse Sportive 30 10 6 14 24:33 36
10 Ben Guerdane 30 8 11 11 18:22 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 35
12 CA Bizertin 30 8 9 13 18:29 33
13 Olympique Beja 30 9 5 16 18:39 32
14 JS Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 31
15 Soliman 30 6 9 15 15:31 27
16 AS Gabes 30 3 9 18 11:37 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)