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Monastir vs Palmese 1914

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Aloia A.
54' Event
Calemme L.
68' Event
Galesio L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Monastir and Palmese 1914 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmese 1914.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Monastir
20%
Draws
23%
Palmese 1914
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monastir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Monastir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Monastir taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Monastir Clean Sheet 68%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monastir Palmese 1914
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Palmese 1914 vs Monastir
0:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Monastir vs Palmese 1914
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monastir Compare

Top Goalscorer Aloia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Palmese 1914 Compare

Top Goalscorer Calemme L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galesio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monastir 95 / 100
Palmese 1914 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monastir Palmese 1914

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monastir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monastir's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Palmese 1914 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Monastir went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monastir VS Palmese 1914
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monastir

(Home)
16 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
3 : 1
Monastir
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2
Monastir
16 May
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 1
Monastir
10 May
Monastir
3 : 3
Flaminia
Page 1 of 6

Palmese 1914

(Away)
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1
Palmese 1914
02 May
Palmese 1914
0 : 2
Monastir
26 Apr
Scafatese
1 : 0
Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)