Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mondercange vs Cebra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2008/2009 Stade Communal, Mondercange
Mondercange Logo

Mondercange

4 - 0
FT
Cebra Logo

Cebra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Mondercange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mondercange
15%
Draws
28%
Cebra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mondercange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mondercange come out ahead of Cebra on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cebra's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Mondercange have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mondercange, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mondercange Clean Sheet 16%
Cebra Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mondercange Cebra
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 7 5
Draws 3 0
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 1.22 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2009 Luxembourg Cup
Mondercange vs Cebra
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondercange 23 / 100
Cebra 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mondercange Cebra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cebra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Cebra let in goals in 79% of their last 14 matches.

Difficult form: Cebra registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mondercange found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Mondercange VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mondercange

(Home)
20 Sept
US Folschette
1 : 4
Mondercange
09 Nov
Mondercange
2 : 3
Victoria Rosport
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4
Mondercange
28 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 6
FC Mamer
19 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 3
Kaerjeng
Page 1 of 7

Cebra

(Away)
30 Oct
Cebra
1 : 6
UNA Strassen
01 Oct
Cebra
4 : 2
Jeunesse Junglinster
03 Oct
Cebra
2 : 3
Progres Niedercorn
17 Oct
Cebra
2 : 3
UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Cebra
0 : 2
Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Dudelange 7
Diekirch 0
Echternach 1
Jeunesse Esch 8
Avenir Beggen 3
Lamadelaine 0
Victoria Rosport 0
Fola 3
Rumelange 1
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Flaxweiler/Beyren 1
Hesperange 2
Lintgen 2
Mondorf 0
Oberkorn 1
Ettelbruck 3
Differdange 1
FC Mamer 0
Cebra 0
Mondercange 4
Grevenmacher 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Remich 0
Luxembourg City 1
Steinfort 1
Bettembourg 0
Bissen 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Progres Niedercorn 4
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Jeunesse Schieren 2
Kaerjeng 4
1/8-finals
Dudelange 4
Jeunesse Esch 1
Avenir Beggen 0
Fola 2
Rumelange 2
Hesperange 0
Lintgen 0
Ettelbruck 2
Differdange 3
Mondercange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Luxembourg City 3
Steinfort 3
Racing Luxembourg 2
Progres Niedercorn 0
Kaerjeng 1
Quarter-finals
Dudelange 2
Fola 0
Rumelange 1
Ettelbruck 4
Differdange 1
Luxembourg City 0
Steinfort 0
Kaerjeng 9
Semi-finals
Dudelange 1
Ettelbruck 0
Differdange 0
Kaerjeng 2
Final
Dudelange 5
Kaerjeng 0