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Mondercange vs Sporting Bertrange - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Sporting Bertrange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mondercange
15%
Draws
28%
Sporting Bertrange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mondercange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mondercange haven't matched Sporting Bertrange's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Mondercange taking it.
  • Sporting Bertrange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting Bertrange, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mondercange Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Bertrange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mondercange Sporting Bertrange
Matches Played 32 18
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 0
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 1.13 2.39
Goals Conceded 2.72 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2012 Luxembourg Cup
Mondercange vs Sporting Bertrange
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondercange 65 / 100
Sporting Bertrange 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mondercange Sporting Bertrange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mondercange Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sporting Bertrange conceded in 89% of 18 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sporting Bertrange lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Mondercange scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Mondercange VS Sporting Bertrange
0.63 Goals Scored 3
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Mondercange

(Home)
20 Sept
US Folschette
1 : 4
Mondercange
09 Nov
Mondercange
2 : 3
Victoria Rosport
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4
Mondercange
28 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 6
FC Mamer
19 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 3
Kaerjeng
Page 1 of 7

Sporting Bertrange

(Away)
20 Sept
Sporting Bertrange
3 : 2
FC Marisca Mersch
06 Oct
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 7
Jeunesse Esch
02 Oct
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 8
UNA Strassen
03 Oct
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 3
Racing Luxembourg
09 Dec
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Esch -
TBD -
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
Rumelange 5
Hesperange 4
CS Sanem 0
TBD -
Fola -
Union Tetange -
TBD -
Alliance 1
Cebra 3
Esch 3
UNA Strassen 0
TBD -
Dudelange -
Progres Niedercorn -
TBD -
Miniere Lasauvage 1
Diekirch 2
Mondorf 2
The Belval Belvaux 1
TBD -
Racing Luxembourg -
Luxembourg City -
TBD -
FF Norden 0
US Berdorf Consdorf 6
Victoria Rosport 3
Luna Oberkorn 2
TBD -
Kaerjeng -
Grevenmacher -
TBD -
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Oberkorn 4
US Feulen 3
Bettembourg 2
TBD -
Wiltz -
Erpeldange 5
FC Rodange 91 4
TBD -
Jeunesse Canach -
CS Petange -
TBD -
FC Brouch 1
Hostert 4
Bissen 3
Lintgen 2
FC Residence Walferdange 0
US Sandweiler 1
Sporting Bertrange 5
Mondercange 0
Schifflange 1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Ettelbruck -
TBD -
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
FC Marisca Mersch 3
FC Mamer 1
TBD -
Differdange -
1/16-finals
Jeunesse Esch 3
Rumelange 1
Hesperange 1
Fola 2
Union Tetange 3
Cebra 0
Esch 1
Dudelange 4
Progres Niedercorn 3
Diekirch 0
Mondorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Luxembourg City 7
US Berdorf Consdorf 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Kaerjeng 3
Grevenmacher 2
Oberkorn 0
US Feulen 0
Wiltz 4
Erpeldange 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
CS Petange 3
Hostert 4
Bissen 1
US Sandweiler 0
Sporting Bertrange 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
Ettelbruck 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Differdange 3
1/8-finals
Jeunesse Esch 2
Fola 1
Union Tetange 1
Dudelange 4
Progres Niedercorn 2
Racing Luxembourg 1
Luxembourg City 0
Kaerjeng 1
Grevenmacher 4
Wiltz 2
Erpeldange 1
Hostert 4
Bissen 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 2
Ettelbruck 0
Differdange 7
Quarter-finals
Jeunesse Esch 1
Dudelange 0
Progres Niedercorn 0
Kaerjeng 1
Grevenmacher 2
Hostert 1
Bissen 0
Differdange 2
Semi-finals
Jeunesse Esch 2
Kaerjeng 0
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 1
Final
Jeunesse Esch 2
Differdange 1