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Mondercange vs Wiltz

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2024/2025 Stade Communal, Mondercange
Mondercange Logo

Mondercange

1 - 6
FT
Wiltz Logo

Wiltz

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-6, with Wiltz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mondercange
15%
Draws
28%
Wiltz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mondercange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mondercange haven't matched Wiltz's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Wiltz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wiltz, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Wiltz have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mondercange Clean Sheet 10%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mondercange Wiltz
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Mondercange
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Luxembourg Cup
Mondercange vs Wiltz
1:6
Oct 20, 2024 BGL Ligue
Mondercange vs Wiltz
0:3
Apr 28, 2024 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Mondercange
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 Club Friendly
Wiltz vs Mondercange
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondercange 30 / 100
Wiltz 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mondercange Wiltz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wiltz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Wiltz has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mondercange's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mondercange VS Wiltz
2 Goals Scored 2.88
2.8 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
80% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mondercange

(Home)
20 Sept
US Folschette
1 : 4
Mondercange
09 Nov
Mondercange
2 : 3
Victoria Rosport
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4
Mondercange
28 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 6
FC Mamer
19 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 3
Kaerjeng
Page 1 of 6

Wiltz

(Away)
20 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 6
Wiltz
16 Sept
Bissen
4 : 2
Wiltz
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Jeunesse Esch
5 : 1
Wiltz
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Dudelange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Lintgen 1
Bissen 0
Echternach 3
Ettelbruck 2
The Belval Belvaux 5
US Sandweiler 0
Clemency 0
Mondorf 4
Oberkorn 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
Steinfort 0
Hesperange 3
Lorentzweiler 0
Victoria Rosport 2
US Moutfort/Medingen 1
Bettembourg 4
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
Luxembourg City 2
FC Orania Vianden 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 3
Koeppchen 2
Syra Mensdorf 2
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
US Feulen 1
FC Schengen 1
Hostert 5
Union Tetange 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
UNA Strassen 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
FC Mamer 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Schifflange 3
FC Ehlerange 1
Fola 3
Mertzig 2
Union Titus Petange 4
Pfaffenthal 1
Kaerjeng 2
Jeunesse Useldange 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Alliance Aischdall 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Differdange 14
AS Luxembourg/Porto 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Mondercange 6
Izeg 0
Wiltz 4
Diekirch 1
FC Residence Walferdange 2
Sporting Bertrange 1
Jeunesse Esch 7
US Folschette 0
Rumelange 6
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Progres Niedercorn 8
1/16-finals
Lintgen 2
Echternach 1
The Belval Belvaux 1
Mondorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Hesperange 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Bettembourg 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
FC Orania Vianden 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
Dudelange 3
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Hostert 4
Union Tetange 0
UNA Strassen 8
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Schifflange 0
Fola 1
Union Titus Petange 3
Kaerjeng 2
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Differdange 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
FC Rodange 91 0
Mondercange 1
Wiltz 6
FC Residence Walferdange 0
Jeunesse Esch 1
Rumelange 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
1/8-finals
Lintgen 2
The Belval Belvaux 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Victoria Rosport 1
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Dudelange 4
Hostert 1
UNA Strassen 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 2
Union Titus Petange 7
Kaerjeng 0
Differdange 4
Jeunesse Canach 1
Wiltz 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Quarter-finals
Lintgen 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Dudelange 4
UNA Strassen 2
Union Titus Petange 0
Differdange 2
Wiltz 3
Progres Niedercorn 2
Semi-finals
Racing Luxembourg 2
Dudelange 3
Differdange 3
Wiltz 0
Final
Dudelange 2
Differdange 3