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Mondorf vs Racing Luxembourg

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue Stade John Grun
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kante M.
Assist: Matuvangua R.
17'
Sub
Deher M. In: Clausse L.
Out: Deher M.
28' Event
Ikene F.
Assist: Matuvangua R.

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue game between Mondorf and Racing Luxembourg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Luxembourg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mondorf
6%
Draws
90%
Racing Luxembourg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Racing Luxembourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Racing Luxembourg's 2.38 goals per match outpaces what Mondorf have produced (1.25).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Racing Luxembourg taking it.
  • Regular BGL Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Mondorf Clean Sheet 12%
Racing Luxembourg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mondorf Racing Luxembourg
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 17 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs Racing Luxembourg
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 BGL Ligue
Racing Luxembourg vs Mondorf
0:2
Mar 16, 2025 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs Racing Luxembourg
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 BGL Ligue
Racing Luxembourg vs Mondorf
3:0
May 26, 2024 BGL Ligue
Racing Luxembourg vs Mondorf
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mondorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Tinelli L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Racing Luxembourg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kante M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ikene F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondorf 10 / 100
Racing Luxembourg 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mondorf Racing Luxembourg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mondorf scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Racing Luxembourg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Mondorf has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mondorf VS Racing Luxembourg
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bissen30205570:2765
2Differdange30198363:2265
3Mondorf30193851:2460
4UNA Strassen30177657:2658
5Dudelange30177659:3858
6Jeunesse Esch3010101035:3440
7Racing Luxembourg301171248:5040
8Kaerjeng301151443:4838
9Hostert301061435:5636
10Victoria Rosport301051533:5035
11Progres Niedercorn30971444:4734
12Hesperange30951631:4632
13Jeunesse Canach30941729:4431
14FC Mamer30851733:5929
15Union Titus Petange30671726:4925
16FC Rodange 9130671728:6525