Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mondsee vs Perg

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mondsee in this Oberosterreich 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mondsee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Mondsee
20%
Draws
35%
Perg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mondsee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mondsee lately — more wins on the board than Perg.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Mondsee taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mondsee Clean Sheet 20%
Perg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mondsee Perg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 12
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.17 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Oberosterreich
Mondsee vs Perg
4:2
Nov 8, 2025 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Mondsee
3:2
Jun 13, 2025 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Mondsee
4:0
Nov 9, 2024 Oberosterreich
Mondsee vs Perg
0:0
Apr 5, 2024 Oberosterreich
Mondsee vs Perg
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondsee 85 / 100
Perg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mondsee Perg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mondsee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mondsee stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Mondsee found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Perg conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mondsee VS Perg
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mondsee

(Home)
25 Sept
Mondsee
4 : 0
Pregarten
19 Sept
Union Weisskirchen
0 : 0
Mondsee
12 Sept
Mondsee
3 : 2
Union Edelweiss Linz
05 Sept
Garsten
0 : 4
Mondsee
28 Aug
Mondsee
4 : 0
Gmunden
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Perg

(Away)
25 Sept
Perg
3 : 0
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
19 Sept
Andorf
3 : 1
Perg
11 Sept
Perg
2 : 0
Bad Ischl
04 Sept
Pregarten
0 : 2
Perg
28 Aug
Perg
0 : 0
Union Weisskirchen
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