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Mongolia U17 vs Japan U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-7, with Japan U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mongolia U17
15%
Draws
61%
Japan U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Japan U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Japan U17 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Japan U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mongolia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia U17 Japan U17
Matches Played 9 32
Wins 2 20
Draws 0 3
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.44 2.66
Goals Conceded 3.56 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U17
Mongolia U17 vs Japan U17
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia U17 10 / 100
Japan U17 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia U17 Japan U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Japan U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Mongolia U17's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Recent resilience: Mongolia U17 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mongolia U17 VS Japan U17
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
3.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia U17

(Home)
30 Nov
Mongolia U17
2 : 6
Turkmenistan U17
26 Nov
Kuwait U17
5 : 0
Mongolia U17
24 Nov
Mongolia U17
0 : 4
Thailand U17
22 Nov
Maldives U17
0 : 1
Mongolia U17
27 Oct
Mongolia U17
1 : 0
Nepal U17
Page 1 of 2

Japan U17

(Away)
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
Japan U17
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U17
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Indonesia U17
09 May
China U17
1 : 2
Japan U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U17 4 4 0 0 17:4 12
2 Iran U17 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
3 Hong Kong U17 4 2 0 2 7:17 6
4 Syria U17 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
5 Jordan U17 4 0 0 4 4:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afghanistan U17 4 4 0 0 23:3 12
2 Philippines U17 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
3 Bangladesh U17 4 2 0 2 10:4 6
4 Cambodia U17 4 2 0 2 3:5 6
5 Macau U17 4 0 0 4 0:24 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U17 4 3 1 0 22:2 10
2 China U17 4 3 1 0 19:2 10
3 Bahrain U17 4 2 0 2 2:4 6
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
5 Maldives U17 4 0 1 3 2:25 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 3 3 0 0 24:2 9
2 India U17 3 2 0 1 16:3 6
3 Turkmenistan U17 3 1 0 2 10:3 3
4 Brunei U17 3 0 0 3 0:42 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U17 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Iraq U17 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Palestine U17 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Chinese Taipei U17 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 3 3 0 0 21:2 9
2 Qatar U17 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Mongolia U17 3 1 0 2 1:9 3
4 Nepal U17 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 3 2 1 0 22:1 7
2 Indonesia U17 3 2 1 0 11:0 7
3 Kuwait U17 3 1 0 2 10:4 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U17 3 0 0 3 0:38 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U17 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Malaysia U17 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
3 Laos U17 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
4 Lebanon U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 3 2 1 0 10:4 7
2 Vietnam U17 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 Myanmar U17 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U17 3 3 0 0 38:1 9
2 Oman U17 3 2 0 1 23:2 6
3 Singapore U17 3 1 0 2 15:8 3
4 Guam U17 3 0 0 3 0:65 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams