Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mongolia U20 vs Guam U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 MFF Football Centre, Ulaanbaatar
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Nyamdorj E.
34' Event
Mendjargal J.
66' Event
Baatar K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mongolia U20
15%
Draws
34%
Guam U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mongolia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mongolia U20 come out ahead of Guam U20 on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Mongolia U20 taking it.
  • Mongolia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mongolia U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Mongolia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Guam U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia U20 Guam U20
Matches Played 11 12
Wins 3 2
Draws 1 2
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.64 0.83
Goals Conceded 4.45 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U20
Mongolia U20 vs Guam U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mongolia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyamdorj E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendjargal J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Guam U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 3.13
Avg xA / game 1.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia U20 34 / 100
Guam U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia U20 Guam U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guam U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 12 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Guam U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mongolia U20's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mongolia U20 VS Guam U20
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
6 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Mongolia U20
3 : 0
Guam U20
31 Aug
Northern Mariana Islands U20
0 : 7
Mongolia U20
19 Nov
Australia U20
10 : 0
Mongolia U20
16 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U20
7 : 0
Mongolia U20
13 Nov
China U20
6 : 0
Mongolia U20
Page 1 of 3

Guam U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Mongolia U20
3 : 0
Guam U20
03 Sept
Guam U20
3 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U20
27 Sept
Syria U20
10 : 1
Guam U20
25 Sept
Vietnam U20
3 : 0
Guam U20
23 Sept
Guam U20
2 : 2
Bangladesh U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Lebanon U20 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U20 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Philippines U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Syria U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Bangladesh U20 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Iran U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Palestine U20 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Vietnam U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Afghanistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Bahrain U20 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Oman U20 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Qatar U20 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Hong Kong U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 United Arab Emirates U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Kuwait U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
3 Yemen U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Cambodia U20 3 1 0 2 2:14 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Malaysia U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Australia U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Laos U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mongolia U20 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Guam U20 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Northern Mariana Islands U20 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
4 Nepal U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Singapore U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bhutan U20 3 1 0 2 9:5 3
4 Macau U20 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 Maldives U20 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Sri Lanka U20 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)