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Mongolia U20 W vs North Korea U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Mon, Aug 4, 2025
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has North Korea U20 W written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Mongolia U20 W at 1.8 goals for, 1.1 against; North Korea U20 W at 3.97 for, 0.28 against. Head-to-head, Mongolia U20 W have won 0 to North Korea U20 W's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 4, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring North Korea U20 W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mongolia U20 W
25%
Draws
35%
North Korea U20 W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mongolia U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mongolia U20 W haven't matched North Korea U20 W's recent run of results.
  • North Korea U20 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • North Korea U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56.2%
Mongolia U20 W Clean Sheet 20%
North Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia U20 W North Korea U20 W
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 5 25
Draws 3 2
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 1.8 3.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2025 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Mongolia U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia U20 W 10 / 100
North Korea U20 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia U20 W North Korea U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea U20 W let in goals in 21% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

North Korea U20 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mongolia U20 W VS North Korea U20 W
0 Goals Scored 7.25
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia U20 W

(Home)

North Korea U20 W

(Away)
27 Sept
Spain U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
23 Sept
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
Colombia U20 W
20 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Canada U20 W
17 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Japan U20 W
13 Sept
Colombia U20 W
0 : 3
North Korea U20 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 W 3 3 0 0 36:0 9
2 Nepal U20 W 3 1 1 1 2:12 4
3 Saudi Arabia U20 W 3 1 0 2 2:17 3
4 Bhutan U20 W 3 0 1 2 2:13 1
5 Mongolia U20 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U20 W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Hong Kong U20 W 3 2 0 1 5:8 6
3 Kyrgyzstan U20 W 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Singapore U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U20 W 3 3 0 0 20:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei U20 W 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Palestine U20 W 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Tajikistan U20 W 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U20 W 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Indonesia U20 W 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
3 Myanmar U20 W 3 1 1 1 8:4 4
4 Turkmenistan U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:17 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U20 W 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 Lebanon U20 W 3 2 0 1 3:9 6
3 Syria U20 W 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
4 Cambodia U20 W 3 0 1 2 0:8 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 W 3 3 0 0 32:0 9
2 Iran U20 W 3 2 0 1 5:11 6
3 Malaysia U20 W 3 1 0 2 2:19 3
4 Guam U20 W 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 W 3 2 1 0 19:3 7
2 Jordan U20 W 3 2 1 0 15:4 7
3 Northern Mariana Islands U20 W 3 1 0 2 4:14 3
4 Bahrain U20 W 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Bangladesh U20 W 3 2 0 1 12:7 6
3 Laos U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Timor-Leste U20 W 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams