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Mongolia vs Lebanon

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Gantuyaa G.
33'
Munkhbaatar T.
46'
Sub
Munkhbaatar T. In: Batmunkh B.
Out: Munkhbaatar T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Mongolia
15%
Draws
64%
Lebanon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lebanon lately — more wins on the board than Mongolia.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Lebanon taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 19.2%
Mongolia Clean Sheet 10%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia Lebanon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.4 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2023 Friendly International
Mongolia vs Lebanon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia 10 / 100
Lebanon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia Lebanon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mongolia scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Lebanon has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Mongolia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mongolia VS Lebanon
0 Goals Scored 2.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia

(Home)
05 Jun
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Mongolia
31 May
Singapore
4 : 0
Mongolia
11 Dec
Chinese Taipei
4 : 0
Mongolia
08 Dec
Mongolia
0 : 3
Hong Kong
10 Sept
Mongolia
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
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Lebanon

(Away)
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1
Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Bhutan
0 : 4
Lebanon
09 Oct
Lebanon
2 : 0
Bhutan
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