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Mongolia vs Macau

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Ser-Odyanjiv G.
45' Event
Janchiv S.
48' Event
Carlinhos Leonel

AI Match Summary

Mongolia in this EAFF E-1 Football Championship 2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mongolia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mongolia
30%
Draws
34%
Macau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mongolia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mongolia lately — more wins on the board than Macau.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Mongolia taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this EAFF E-1 Football Championship 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Mongolia Clean Sheet 20%
Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia Macau
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 6 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 22 22
Goals Scored 0.63 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Mongolia vs Macau
4:1
Nov 3, 2016 AFC Solidarity Cup
Macau vs Mongolia
2:1
Jun 30, 2016 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Macau vs Mongolia
2:2
Jul 25, 2014 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Macau vs Mongolia
3:2
Apr 14, 2009 AFC Challenge Cup
Mongolia vs Macau
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mongolia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ser-Odyanjiv G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Janchiv S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlinhos Leonel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia 36 / 100
Macau 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia Macau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Macau conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Macau's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mongolia scored in 32% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Mongolia VS Macau
0.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia

(Home)
05 Jun
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Mongolia
31 May
Singapore
4 : 0
Mongolia
11 Dec
Chinese Taipei
4 : 0
Mongolia
08 Dec
Mongolia
0 : 3
Hong Kong
10 Sept
Mongolia
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
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Macau

(Away)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
19 Mar
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Macau
14 Dec
Macau
1 : 2
Guam
10 Sept
Macau
0 : 1
Brunei
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mongolia321014:27
2Macau31114:54
3Guam31115:34
4Northern Mariana Islands30121:141
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship 2019 (Second stage)