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Mongolia W vs Thailand W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Promthongmee T.
5' Event
Peng-ngam S.
12' Event
Jansri T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-11. This leg finished 0-11.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mongolia W
20%
Draws
80%
Thailand W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thailand W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Mongolia W haven't matched Thailand W's recent run of results.
  • Thailand W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Thailand W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Thailand W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Mongolia W Clean Sheet 10%
Thailand W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia W Thailand W
Matches Played 23 33
Wins 2 19
Draws 3 3
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.7 3
Goals Conceded 6.78 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2025 Asian Cup Women
Mongolia W vs Thailand W
0:11
Apr 7, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Thailand W vs Mongolia W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mongolia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Thailand W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aupachai P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Promthongmee T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.93
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia W 10 / 100
Thailand W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia W Thailand W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 8.50 goals as a typical output.

Mongolia W found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (23 games).

Thailand W let in goals in 42% of their last 33 matches.

Away concern: Thailand W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Thailand W
0 Goals Scored 3.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia W

(Home)
05 Jul
Timor-Leste W
3 : 1
Mongolia W
02 Jul
Mongolia W
0 : 11
Thailand W
26 Jun
Iraq W
5 : 2
Mongolia W
23 Jun
Mongolia W
0 : 13
India W
04 Dec
Hong Kong W
6 : 0
Mongolia W
Page 1 of 5

Thailand W

(Away)
21 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 0
Thailand W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0
Thailand W
09 Jun
Myanmar W
1 : 1
Thailand W
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran W 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
2 Jordan W 4 3 0 1 13:2 9
3 Bhutan W 4 2 0 2 6:13 6
4 Lebanon W 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
5 Singapore W 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India W 4 4 0 0 24:1 12
2 Thailand W 4 3 0 1 23:2 9
3 Timor-Leste W 4 1 1 2 3:9 4
4 Iraq W 4 1 1 2 5:14 4
5 Mongolia W 4 0 0 4 3:32 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Myanmar W 3 2 0 1 15:2 6
3 Bahrain W 3 0 1 2 2:15 1
4 Turkmenistan W 3 0 1 2 2:17 1
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei W 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Pakistan W 3 2 0 1 4:9 6
3 Indonesia W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Kyrgyzstan W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 United Arab Emirates W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Guam W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Maldives W 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan W 3 2 1 0 20:3 7
2 Nepal W 3 2 1 0 20:3 7
3 Laos W 3 1 0 2 2:16 3
4 Sri Lanka W 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Philippines W 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Hong Kong W 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Cambodia W 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Saudi Arabia W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 3 0 0 26:0 9
2 Malaysia W 3 2 0 1 2:6 6
3 Palestine W 3 1 0 2 3:11 3
4 Tajikistan W 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)