Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monmouth vs Garden Village

Wales Wales

Division 1
Our Tip

Match Events

' Event
Harrhy N.
' Event
Martin R.
' Event
Richards K.

AI Match Summary

Garden Village in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Garden Village.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Monmouth
15%
Draws
21%
Garden Village
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monmouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Garden Village have won more games recently than Monmouth.
  • Model gives Monmouth a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Monmouth Clean Sheet 20%
Garden Village Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monmouth Garden Village
Matches Played 18 20
Wins 5 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.61 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2020 Division 1
Garden Village vs Monmouth
0:0
Feb 1, 2020 Division 1
Monmouth vs Garden Village
1:2
Jan 30, 2016 Division 1
Garden Village vs Monmouth
1:3
Oct 17, 2015 Division 1
Monmouth vs Garden Village
3:2
Dec 19, 2014 Division 1
Garden Village vs Monmouth
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monmouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Harrhy N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Garden Village Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Richards K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monmouth 76 / 100
Garden Village 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monmouth Garden Village

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monmouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Garden Village conceded in 85% of 20 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Monmouth found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (18 games).

Monmouth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monmouth VS Garden Village
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monmouth

(Home)
19 Oct
Monmouth
2 : 3
Pill
21 Sept
Newport City
0 : 2
Monmouth
25 Sept
Buckley
2 : 0
Monmouth
04 Sept
Monmouth
3 : 0
Llanelli
14 Aug
Monmouth
3 : 1
Cwmamman United
Page 1 of 4

Garden Village

(Away)
18 Oct
Garden Village
2 : 4
Glynneath Town
20 Sept
Cwmbach Royal Stars
3 : 4
Garden Village
14 Aug
Garden Village
2 : 3
Goytre AFC
06 Mar
Garden Village
0 : 4
Pontardawe
22 Feb
Garden Village
0 : 3
Ton Pentre
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 20 17 3 0 64:23 54
2 Port Talbot 18 10 5 3 33:16 35
3 Risca United 16 10 3 3 32:24 33
4 Goytre AFC 18 9 5 4 46:22 32
5 Garden Village 20 8 5 7 25:29 29
6 Caldicot 18 8 2 8 27:25 26
7 Penydarren 13 7 3 3 26:22 24
8 Ton Pentre 19 6 4 9 31:42 22
9 Bridgend Street 15 6 3 6 35:25 21
10 Pontardawe 16 5 4 7 22:28 19
11 Abergavenny Town 20 5 3 12 25:42 18
12 Aberbargoed Buds 15 4 4 7 25:31 16
13 Monmouth 17 4 2 11 27:39 14
14 Llwydcoed 16 3 5 8 20:33 14
15 Croesyceiliog FC 13 3 4 6 19:27 13
16 Dinas Powys 18 2 3 13 28:57 9
Promotion - Cymru South 2020/2021 (Main)