Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monopoli vs Crotone

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Zunno M.
Assist: Crapisto F.
31' Event
Olivieri E.
Assist: Garritano L.
37' Event
Musso A.
Assist: Grosso F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Monopoli
35%
Draws
24%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monopoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Crotone at 1.41 per game, Monopoli at 0.8.
  • Monopoli are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monopoli Crotone
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Crotone
2:2
Mar 1, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Crotone
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Monopoli
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Monopoli
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Crotone
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monopoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Olivieri E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cerretti C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Zunno M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Musso A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monopoli 50 / 100
Crotone 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monopoli Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monopoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Monopoli scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Monopoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monopoli VS Crotone
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monopoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0
Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1
Monopoli
Page 1 of 6

Crotone

(Away)
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Crotone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Bari 7 5 1 1 10:4 16
3 Sorrento 7 5 0 2 10:7 15
4 Picerno 7 4 0 3 14:11 12
5 Casertana 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 7 3 2 2 6:4 11
7 Audace Cerignola 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 Catania 7 3 1 3 12:9 10
9 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
10 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
11 Casarano 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
12 Salernitana 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
13 Foggia 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
14 Cavese 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
15 Barletta 7 1 4 2 11:13 7
16 Altamura 7 2 1 4 4:10 7
17 A.C. Savoia 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
18 Giugliano 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
19 Cosenza 7 0 2 5 5:16 2
20 Crotone 7 1 3 3 7:10 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)