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Stadium Background

Monopoli vs Lecce

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Krstovic N.
25' Event
Pierotti S.
46'
Sub
Krstovic N. In: Camarda F.
Out: Krstovic N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Monopoli and Lecce finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Monopoli
15%
Draws
65%
Lecce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lecce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Lecce's 0.97 goals per match outpaces what Monopoli have produced (0.83).
  • Lecce are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 22%
Lecce Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monopoli Lecce
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.83 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Lecce vs Monopoli
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Monopoli vs Lecce
2:2
Aug 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Lecce vs Monopoli
0:0
Sep 12, 2020 Club Friendly
Lecce vs Monopoli
2:2
May 6, 2018 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Lecce
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monopoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Longo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tirelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

Lecce Compare

Top Goalscorer Krstovic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pierotti S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monopoli 16 / 100
Lecce 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monopoli Lecce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monopoli found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Lecce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Monopoli went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monopoli VS Lecce
0.57 Goals Scored 1
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monopoli

(Home)
24 Aug
Altamura
1 : 0
Monopoli
14 Aug
Audace Cerignola
1 : 2
Monopoli
09 Aug
Lecce
1 : 0
Monopoli
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2
Casarano
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Lecce

(Away)
23 Aug
Venezia
0 : 2
Lecce
17 Aug
Palermo
2 : 0
Lecce
09 Aug
Lecce
1 : 0
Monopoli
29 Jul
Lecce
5 : 2
Bistrica
25 Jul
Lecce
2 : 2
Istra 1961
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