Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Sub
Gammone A. In: De Vena A.
Out: Gammone A.
52'
52'
Esposito A.
60'
60'
Genchi G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monopoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Melfi haven't matched Monopoli's recent run of results.
- Monopoli are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 68%
Melfi Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monopoli | Melfi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.80 | 0.58 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 9, 2017 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Melfi
1:1
Nov 27, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Monopoli
3:2
Feb 28, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Monopoli
1:4
Oct 17, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Melfi
2:1
Feb 21, 2010 Serie C2/C
Monopoli vs Melfi
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monopoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Genchi G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4
Melfi Compare
Top Goalscorer Esposito A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monopoli 68 / 100
Melfi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monopoli Melfi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monopoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Monopoli remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Melfi let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Away concern: Melfi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Monopoli VS Melfi
0.75 Goals Scored 0.29
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
38% Over 1.5 29%
25% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Monopoli
(Home) 03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0 A.C. Savoia
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1 Monopoli
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0 Monopoli
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0 A.C. Savoia
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
29 Aug
Monopoli
2 : 0 Catania
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1 Vibonese
Page 1 of 4
Melfi
(Away) 04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1 Nocerina
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0 Melfi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1 Francavilla
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0 Melfi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0 Melfi
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0 Melfi
06 Sept
Real Normanna
2 : 0 Melfi
28 May
Akragas
1 : 1 Melfi
30 Apr
Foggia
1 : 0 Melfi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Foggia | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 70:29 | 85 |
| 2 | Lecce | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 62:36 | 74 |
| 3 | Matera | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 71:44 | 65 |
| 4 | Juve Stabia | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:43 | 64 |
| 5 | Virtus Francavilla | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 47:45 | 57 |
| 6 | Siracusa | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 57 |
| 7 | Cosenza | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 57:46 | 55 |
| 8 | Paganese | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 51:45 | 50 |
| 9 | Casertana | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 38:42 | 49 |
| 10 | Fondi | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 11 | Catania | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 40:36 | 47 |
| 12 | Fidelis Andria | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 30:33 | 47 |
| 13 | Reggina | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 44:54 | 45 |
| 14 | ACR Messina | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 44 |
| 15 | Monopoli | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 42:54 | 42 |
| 16 | Akragas | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 30:47 | 39 |
| 17 | Vibonese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 27:46 | 39 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 36:49 | 38 |
| 19 | Melfi | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 38:68 | 34 |
| 20 | Taranto | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 25:49 | 30 |
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
