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Mons Calpe vs Lincoln Red Imps

Gibraltar Gibraltar

Gibraltar Cup Europa Point Stadium, Gibraltar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-5. The second leg ended 0-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mons Calpe
20%
Draws
52%
Lincoln Red Imps
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lincoln Red Imps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Lincoln Red Imps carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Lincoln Red Imps taking it.
  • Lincoln Red Imps arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lincoln Red Imps, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lincoln Red Imps have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mons Calpe Clean Sheet 15%
Lincoln Red Imps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mons Calpe Lincoln Red Imps
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 21
Draws 2 6
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 2.13 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 National League
Mons Calpe vs Lincoln Red Imps
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs Mons Calpe
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Gibraltar Cup
Mons Calpe vs Lincoln Red Imps
0:5
Feb 22, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs Mons Calpe
3:0
Nov 1, 2025 National League
Mons Calpe vs Lincoln Red Imps
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mons Calpe 10 / 100
Lincoln Red Imps 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mons Calpe Lincoln Red Imps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lincoln Red Imps Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mons Calpe found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Mons Calpe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lincoln Red Imps let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mons Calpe VS Lincoln Red Imps
1.67 Goals Scored 1.38
1.67 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mons Calpe

(Home)
20 Sept
Europa FC
1 : 2
Mons Calpe
13 Sept
Mons Calpe
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
06 Sept
Mons Calpe
2 : 0
Glacis United
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
25 Apr
Europa FC
4 : 1
Mons Calpe
Page 1 of 6

Lincoln Red Imps

(Away)
13 Sept
Mons Calpe
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
04 Sept
Lincoln Red Imps
4 : 0
Europa Point
30 Aug
Glacis United
0 : 2
Lincoln Red Imps
27 Aug
Larne
0 : 3
Lincoln Red Imps
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
St Josephs
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hound Dogs 1
Magpies 0
St Josephs 0
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Manchester 62 0
Lions Gibraltar 4
Europa Point -
TBD -
College 1975 -
TBD -
Glacis United -
TBD -
Mons Calpe -
TBD -
Lynx 1
Europa FC 0
Quarter-finals
Hound Dogs 0
Lincoln Red Imps 2
Lions Gibraltar 4
Europa Point 0
College 1975 0
Glacis United 2
Mons Calpe 1
Lynx 0
Semi-finals
Lincoln Red Imps 2
Lions Gibraltar 1
Glacis United 0
Mons Calpe 2
Final
Lincoln Red Imps 5
Mons Calpe 0