Sport Picks

Gibraltar

National League

Mons Calpe

3 - 1

Lions Gibraltar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Mons Calpe and Lions Gibraltar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mons Calpe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Mons Calpe

33%

Draws

40%

Lions Gibraltar

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lions Gibraltar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mons Calpe come out ahead of Lions Gibraltar on wins alone.
Lions Gibraltar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Mons Calpe Clean Sheet 10%

Lions Gibraltar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mons Calpe	Lions Gibraltar
Matches Played	32	31
Wins	20	16
Draws	2	4
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.38	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 National League

Mons Calpe vs Lions Gibraltar

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Jan 19, 2026 National League

Lions Gibraltar vs Mons Calpe

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

0:3

Oct 5, 2025 National League

Mons Calpe vs Lions Gibraltar

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Dec 21, 2024 National League

Mons Calpe vs Lions Gibraltar

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Sep 21, 2024 National League

Lions Gibraltar vs Mons Calpe

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mons Calpe 26 / 100

Lions Gibraltar 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mons Calpe Lions Gibraltar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mons Calpe's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Lions Gibraltar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Mons Calpe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mons Calpe VS Lions Gibraltar

1.38 Goals Scored 2.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lincoln Red Imps	27	23	3	1	89:17	72
2	St Josephs	27	20	3	4	96:17	63
3	Europa FC	27	18	2	7	54:20	56
4	Mons Calpe	27	18	1	8	66:35	55
5	Lions Gibraltar	27	13	4	10	53:44	43
6	Lynx	27	10	4	13	38:45	34