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Stadium Background

Mons Calpe vs St Josephs

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League 2025/2026 Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
Mons Calpe Logo

Mons Calpe

3 - 2
FT
St Josephs Logo

St Josephs

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mons Calpe in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mons Calpe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mons Calpe
20%
Draws
47%
St Josephs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St Josephs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • St Josephs average 3.1 goals a game right now, well clear of Mons Calpe's 2.13.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on St Josephs taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mons Calpe Clean Sheet 15%
St Josephs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mons Calpe St Josephs
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 19
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.13 3.1
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National League
St Josephs vs Mons Calpe
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 National League
Mons Calpe vs St Josephs
3:2
Dec 12, 2025 National League
Mons Calpe vs St Josephs
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Mons Calpe
1:3
Dec 15, 2024 National League
St Josephs vs Mons Calpe
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mons Calpe 15 / 100
St Josephs 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mons Calpe St Josephs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Josephs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mons Calpe scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Mons Calpe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: St Josephs conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mons Calpe VS St Josephs
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mons Calpe

(Home)
20 Sept
Europa FC
1 : 2
Mons Calpe
13 Sept
Mons Calpe
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
06 Sept
Mons Calpe
2 : 0
Glacis United
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
25 Apr
Europa FC
4 : 1
Mons Calpe
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St Josephs

(Away)
19 Sept
Lynx
0 : 6
St Josephs
12 Sept
St Josephs
3 : 0
Europa FC
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
St Josephs
16 Jul
St Josephs
0 : 0
Bohemians
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln Red Imps 27 23 3 1 89:17 72
2 St Josephs 27 20 3 4 96:17 63
3 Europa FC 27 18 2 7 54:20 56
4 Mons Calpe 27 18 1 8 66:35 55
5 Lions Gibraltar 27 13 4 10 53:44 43
6 Lynx 27 10 4 13 38:45 34
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)