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Monsanto vs Fatima

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012 game between Monsanto and Fatima finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fatima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Monsanto
15%
Draws
48%
Fatima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Fatima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fatima are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Monsanto Clean Sheet 20%
Fatima Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monsanto Fatima
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.19 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2012 Second Division - Zona Sul
Monsanto vs Fatima
0:5
Dec 18, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul
Fatima vs Monsanto
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monsanto 16 / 100
Fatima 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monsanto Fatima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Monsanto scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Fatima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 38 matches.

Monsanto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fatima
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monsanto

(Home)
29 Apr
Monsanto
2 : 0
Atletico SC
22 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Monsanto
15 Apr
Monsanto
0 : 5
Fatima
07 Apr
Pinhalnovense
1 : 1
Monsanto
31 Mar
Monsanto
3 : 1
Juv. Evora
Page 1 of 7

Fatima

(Away)
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0
Fatima
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0
Malveira
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatima 30 18 6 6 50:30 60
2 Oriental 30 16 8 6 49:17 56
3 Torreense 30 15 11 4 47:27 56
4 Carregado 30 15 8 7 57:38 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 16 5 9 47:32 53
6 Mafra 30 10 16 4 33:22 46
7 Louletano 30 13 7 10 28:33 46
8 Sertanense 30 11 10 9 37:32 43
9 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 11 5 14 35:34 38
10 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 30:34 35
11 1º Dezembro 30 8 10 12 28:29 34
12 Juv. Evora 30 9 5 16 29:42 32
13 Monsanto 30 6 11 13 25:41 29
14 Atletico SC 30 5 11 14 31:50 26
15 Moura AC 30 6 7 17 28:57 25
16 Caldas SC 30 3 9 18 17:53 18
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)