Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Babi
35'
35'
Gay G.
45'
45'
Gosmann G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Monsoon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monsoon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Monsoon haven't matched Brasil de Farroupilha's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Monsoon's way, sitting at 36%.
- Brasil de Farroupilha arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Monsoon, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Monsoon here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 20%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monsoon | Brasil de Farroupilha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.17 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 17, 2026 Copa FGF
Monsoon vs Brasil de Farroupilha
2:1
May 20, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Monsoon
0:0
Jul 16, 2023 Gaucho 2
Monsoon vs Brasil de Farroupilha
3:0
Apr 16, 2023 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Monsoon
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monsoon Compare
Top Goalscorer Babi
1 Goals Assists Leader Gay G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Brasil de Farroupilha Compare
Top Goalscorer Gosmann G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monsoon 36 / 100
Brasil de Farroupilha 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monsoon Brasil de Farroupilha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brasil de Farroupilha has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Monsoon scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.
Monsoon has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Monsoon VS Brasil de Farroupilha
0.88 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Monsoon
(Home) 17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1 Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0 Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1 Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2 Gramadense
Page 1 of 6
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1 Brasil de Farroupilha
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2 Gramadense
07 Mar
Monsoon
2 : 0 Guarany de Bage
23 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1 Avenida
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Brasil de Farroupilha
(Away) 17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1 Brasil de Farroupilha
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
07 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 1 Gramadense
30 May
Gramadense
2 : 2 Brasil de Farroupilha
23 May
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1 Brasil de Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1 Brasil de Farroupilha
30 May
Gramadense
2 : 2 Brasil de Farroupilha
23 May
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1 Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Jul
SC Gaucho
1 : 1 Brasil de Farroupilha
20 Jul
GE Bage
1 : 1 Brasil de Farroupilha
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gramadense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz RS | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Monsoon | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Brasil de Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasil de Pelotas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 2 | GE Bage | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Guarany de Bage | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)