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Monsoon vs Inter Santa Maria

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Joao Felipe
22'
Hiago Cena
25'
Sub
Hiago Cena In: Rick Sena
Out: Hiago Cena

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Monsoon
35%
Draws
28%
Inter Santa Maria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monsoon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter Santa Maria lately — more wins on the board than Monsoon.
  • Win probability leans Monsoon's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Santa Maria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monsoon Inter Santa Maria
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 13 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.87 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Gaucho
Inter Santa Maria vs Monsoon
1:1
Feb 9, 2026 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Inter Santa Maria
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Monsoon
3:0
Jun 8, 2024 Gaucho 2
Monsoon vs Inter Santa Maria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monsoon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabinho Polhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Inter Santa Maria Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Felipe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monsoon 46 / 100
Inter Santa Maria 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monsoon Inter Santa Maria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monsoon scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Inter Santa Maria let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Monsoon has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monsoon VS Inter Santa Maria
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monsoon

(Home)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
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Inter Santa Maria

(Away)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
1 : 1
Monsoon
21 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
0 : 1
Guarany de Bage
16 Feb
Guarany de Bage
3 : 2
Inter Santa Maria
09 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Inter Santa Maria
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