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Montagnarde vs Stade Briochin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de France 2020/2021
Montagnarde Logo

Montagnarde

Sat, Feb 20, 2021
2 - 1
12:30 PM
Stade Briochin Logo

Stade Briochin

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Barry R.
41' Event
Illien M.
1' Event
Penalty Missed
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montagnarde in this Coupe de France 2020/2021 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Montagnarde
30%
Draws
28%
Stade Briochin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montagnarde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Montagnarde have won more games recently than Stade Briochin.
  • Montagnarde are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Montagnarde have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stade Briochin, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Montagnarde Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montagnarde Stade Briochin
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 14 9
Draws 0 14
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2021 Coupe de France
Montagnarde vs Stade Briochin
2:1
Nov 16, 2019 Coupe de France
Montagnarde vs Stade Briochin
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montagnarde Compare

Top Goalscorer Barry R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Stade Briochin Compare

Top Goalscorer Illien M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montagnarde 42 / 100
Stade Briochin 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montagnarde Stade Briochin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montagnarde scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Stade Briochin has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Montagnarde went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Stade Briochin
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montagnarde

(Home)
16 Nov
Montagnarde
1 : 2
Tours
06 Mar
Saumur Olympique
4 : 3
Montagnarde
20 Feb
Montagnarde
2 : 1
Stade Briochin
14 Feb
Montagnarde
1 : 0
Dinan
07 Feb
Liffre
1 : 4
Montagnarde
Page 1 of 6

Stade Briochin

(Away)
02 Oct
Stade Briochin
1 : 3
Lorient II
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4
Stade Briochin
11 Sept
Stade Briochin
2 : 2
Granville
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Stade Briochin
0 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Creteil 4
St. Maur Lusitanos 2
Red Star 1
FC Bobigny 93 0
Quevilly 3
Avranches 2
Rouen 3
AF Virois 0
Nantes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chateauroux -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Ajaccio -
Nancy -
TBD -
TBD -
Sochaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
Nimes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Clermont -
TBD -
TBD -
Grenoble -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Reims -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valenciennes -
TBD -
TBD -
Chambly -
Dunkerque -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Limonest 0
Rumilly Vallieres 1
FC Rhone Vallees 0
Saint Priest 2
Thionville ASP 0
Amneville 3
Prix les Mezieres 2
Thaon 1
Belfort 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 3
Pontarlier 0
Fleury 91 3
Thonon-Evian 2
Venissieux FC 3
Seyssinet 0
Annecy 4
Nord Vignoble 1
Feurs 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 4
Aurillac 2
Chamalieres 1
Moulins-Yzeure 0
Andrezieux 4
Villefranche 0
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Le Havre -
TBD -
TBD -
Paris FC -
St. Colomban Locmine 5
St. Renan 2
AC Plouzane 1
F.C. Guichen 2
Elan de Gorges 0
Sable 1
Saumur Olympique 1
Fontenay 0
Liffre 1
Montagnarde 4
Saint-Pierre Milizac 1
Dinan 2
Stade Briochin 3
Vannes 0
Saint-Malo 4
Plabennec 2
Saint-Zacharie 0
Athletico Marseille 1
AS Maximoise 1
Aubagne FC 3
Libourne 2
Lege Capferret 3
ASL Billere 0
Bayonne 1
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Niort -
St Clement Montferrier 2
Albi-Marssac 1
Colomiers 1
Canet Roussillon 2
Merignac 1
AS Aixe sur Vienne 0
Genets 0
Stade Poitevin 1
Troyes -
TBD -
TBD -
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Aire-sur-la-Lys 2
Chantilly 1
Lesquin 0
Amiens AC 4
Steenvoorde 2
Bailleul SC 1
Longueau 1
Beauvais 3
Lambres-les-Douai 4
Laon US 0
Olympique Marcquois 2
Boulogne 3
Loon Plage 1
Itancourt Neuville 0
St Quentin 1
Arras 2
Orleans 3
Bourges 18 2
Romorantin 1
Tours 0
Saint-Pierroise 3
Sainte-Marienne 2
Pamandzi 0
Mtsapere 2
Change 0
Les Herbiers 1
Saint-Philbert 1
Laval 3
Gonfreville 4
ESFC Falaise 0
Caennaise 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Liguaire Niort 1
Trelissac 0
Panazol 0
Ales 3
AS-Fabregues 1
F.C. Onet Le Chateau 0
Castelnau 2
Montauban 0
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pau -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodez -
Guingamp -
TBD -
TBD -
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
CA Vitry 0
Saint Brice 4
JA Drancy 2
Senart-Moissy 0
US St Loos en Gohelle 0
Saint-Omer 1
GFC Ajaccio 3
Furiani Agliani 2
Dijon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Jura Sud 1
Besancon RC 2
Macon 2
Cosne US 1
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1
Haguenau 2
Hombourg-Haut 1
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Ribeauville 0
Bischheim Soleil 3
Obermodern 0
Schiltigheim 1
Saint-Meziery 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Sedan 2
Epinal 1
Angers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Grand Santi 0
US Sinnamary 2
Phare du Canal 1
Sainte-Rose 0
TBD -
TBD -
Franciscain 2
Samaritaine 0
1/64-finals
Creteil 1
Red Star 2
Quevilly 1
Rouen 0
Nantes -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Lyon -
TBD -
Chateauroux 0
AC Ajaccio 2
Nancy 0
Sochaux 1
TBD -
St Etienne -
Nimes -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Clermont 1
Grenoble 2
TBD -
Monaco -
Reims -
TBD -
Valenciennes 2
Chambly 0
Dunkerque 1
Amiens SC 2
TBD -
Metz -
Rumilly Vallieres 5
Saint Priest 1
Amneville 0
Prix les Mezieres 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Fleury 91 1
Venissieux FC 0
Annecy 1
Feurs 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Chamalieres 2
Andrezieux 1
Lorient -
TBD -
Le Havre 0
Paris FC 1
St. Colomban Locmine 0
F.C. Guichen 1
Sable 1
Saumur Olympique 4
Montagnarde 1
Dinan 0
Stade Briochin 2
Saint-Malo 0
Athletico Marseille 0
Aubagne FC 1
Lege Capferret 1
Bayonne 0
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Toulouse 1
Niort 0
St Clement Montferrier 0
Canet Roussillon 2
Merignac 1
Stade Poitevin 4
Troyes 0
Auxerre 1
TBD -
Marseille -
Aire-sur-la-Lys 1
Amiens AC 0
Steenvoorde 2
Beauvais 4
Lambres-les-Douai 0
Boulogne 5
Loon Plage 2
Arras 1
Orleans 1
Romorantin 2
Saint-Pierroise 1
Mtsapere 2
Les Herbiers 3
Laval 0
Gonfreville 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 2
Liguaire Niort 0
Ales 2
AS-Fabregues 4
Castelnau 1
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Brest -
TBD -
Pau 0
Rodez 1
Guingamp 1
Caen 3
TBD -
PSG -
Saint Brice 2
JA Drancy 0
Saint-Omer 0
GFC Ajaccio 1
Dijon -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Besancon RC 0
Macon 1
Haguenau 2
St. Louis Neuweg 3
Bischheim Soleil 0
Schiltigheim 1
Saint-Meziery 0
Sedan 5
Angers -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
US Sinnamary 2
Phare du Canal 0
TBD -
Franciscain -
1/32-finals
Red Star 2
Quevilly 1
Nantes 2
Lens 4
Lyon 5
AC Ajaccio 1
Sochaux 1
St Etienne 0
Nimes 1
Nice 3
Grenoble 0
Monaco 1
Reims 3
Valenciennes 4
Amiens SC 1
Metz 2
Rumilly Vallieres 1
Prix les Mezieres 0
Fleury 91 1
Annecy 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Chamalieres 0
Lorient 2
Paris FC 1
F.C. Guichen 0
Saumur Olympique 1
Montagnarde 2
Stade Briochin 1
Aubagne FC 3
Lege Capferret 2
Bordeaux 0
Toulouse 2
Canet Roussillon 2
Stade Poitevin 1
Auxerre 0
Marseille 2
Aire-sur-la-Lys 1
Beauvais 4
Boulogne 3
Loon Plage 0
Romorantin 2
Mtsapere 0
Les Herbiers 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Ales 2
AS-Fabregues 0
Strasbourg 0
Montpellier 2
Brest 2
Rodez 1
Caen 0
PSG 1
Saint Brice 0
GFC Ajaccio 1
Dijon 0
Lille 1
Macon 0
St. Louis Neuweg 1
Schiltigheim 0
Sedan 4
Angers 2
Rennes 1
US Sinnamary 1
Franciscain 2
1/16-finals
Red Star 3
Lens 2
Lyon 5
Sochaux 2
Nice 0
Monaco 2
Valenciennes 0
Metz 4
Rumilly Vallieres 2
Annecy 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Lorient 0
Saumur Olympique 4
Montagnarde 3
Aubagne FC 0
Toulouse 2
Canet Roussillon 2
Marseille 1
Beauvais 0
Boulogne 2
Romorantin 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 3
Ales 1
Montpellier 2
Brest 0
PSG 3
GFC Ajaccio 1
Lille 3
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Sedan 2
Angers 5
Franciscain 0
1/8-finals
Red Star 2
Lyon 3
Monaco 1
Metz 0
Rumilly Vallieres 4
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Saumur Olympique 1
Toulouse 2
Canet Roussillon 1
Boulogne 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 0
Montpellier 1
PSG 3
Lille 0
Sedan 0
Angers 1
Quarter-finals
Lyon 0
Monaco 2
Rumilly Vallieres 2
Toulouse 0
Canet Roussillon 1
Montpellier 2
PSG 5
Angers 0
Semi-finals
Monaco 5
Rumilly Vallieres 1
Montpellier 2
PSG 3
Final
Monaco 0
PSG 2