Sport Picks
Montana vs CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
efbet League 2025/2026 Ogosta Stadium, Montana 
Match Events
58'
58'
Rosa M.
63'
63'
Sub
Ejike P. In: Muhammad I.
Out: Ejike P.
65'
65'
Sub
Ebong M. In: Panayotov P.
Out: Ebong M.
AI Match Summary
CSKA Sofia in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Sofia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA Sofia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to CSKA Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Montana.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors CSKA Sofia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Montana Clean Sheet 68%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montana | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2026 efbet League
Montana vs CSKA Sofia
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Montana
3:1
Apr 21, 2021 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Montana
6:0
Nov 8, 2020 efbet League
Montana vs CSKA Sofia
1:2
Jul 31, 2020 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Montana
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
CSKA Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Panayotov P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montana 41 / 100
CSKA Sofia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montana CSKA Sofia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Montana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Montana found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
CSKA Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 26 matches.
Scoring Trends
Montana VS CSKA Sofia
1.71 Goals Scored 1.63
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Montana
(Home) 22 Aug
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1 Montana
16 Aug
Montana
1 : 0 Marek
11 Aug
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 2 Montana
04 Aug
Montana
3 : 1 Nesebar
25 Jul
Svoge
2 : 2 Montana
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Montana
1 : 0 Marek
04 Aug
Montana
3 : 1 Nesebar
18 Jul
Montana
3 : 1 Spartak Pleven
18 May
Montana
0 : 2 Spartak Varna
09 May
Montana
2 : 2 Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 3
CSKA Sofia
(Away) 20 Aug
OFI Crete
3 : 0 CSKA Sofia
16 Aug
CSKA Sofia
5 : 0 Botev Vratsa
13 Aug
CSKA Sofia
1 : 3 Maccabi Tel Aviv
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia
06 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
OFI Crete
3 : 0 CSKA Sofia
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia
06 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia
23 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia
20 Jul
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 64:22 | 70 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 57:20 | 60 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 50:31 | 59 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:23 | 56 |
| 5 | Lok. Plovdiv | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 30:33 | 46 |
| 6 | Cherno More | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 33:26 | 44 |
| 7 | Arda | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:27 | 44 |
| 8 | Botev Plovdiv | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:33 | 39 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:26 | 38 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 12 | Spartak Varna | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 25:50 | 27 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 23:43 | 26 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25:58 | 26 |
| 15 | Beroe | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 19:44 | 23 |
| 16 | Montana | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 15:45 | 17 |
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
