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Montana vs Hebar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Ogosta Stadium, Montana
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Match Events

2' Event
Tisovski S.
26' Event
Pavlov K.
33' Event
Tsonkov S.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Montana and Hebar finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hebar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Montana
15%
Draws
64%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Hebar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hebar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Montana Clean Sheet 10%
Hebar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montana Hebar
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Vtora liga
Montana vs Hebar
0:5
Mar 9, 2022 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Montana
0:3
Aug 23, 2021 Vtora liga
Montana vs Hebar
0:1
Jul 4, 2020 Club Friendly
Montana vs Hebar
4:2
Feb 22, 2020 Vtora liga
Montana vs Hebar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tisovski S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavlov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montana 10 / 100
Hebar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montana Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Hebar has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Montana scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Montana has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montana VS Hebar
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montana

(Home)
04 Oct
Bdin Vidin
0 : 2
Montana
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4
Vihren
Page 1 of 6

Hebar

(Away)
04 Oct
Yambol 1915
0 : 5
Hebar
27 Sept
Hebar
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)