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Montaneros vs Estradense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Pedrosa D.
90'
Pedrosa D.

AI Match Summary

Estradense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estradense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Montaneros
30%
Draws
58%
Estradense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estradense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Estradense have won more games recently than Montaneros.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Estradense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Montaneros Clean Sheet 13%
Estradense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montaneros Estradense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Montaneros
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Montaneros vs Estradense
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Montaneros
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montaneros Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Estradense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrosa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montaneros 35 / 100
Estradense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montaneros Estradense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estradense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montaneros found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Estradense let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Montaneros has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montaneros VS Estradense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Montaneros

(Home)
27 Sept
Montaneros
1 : 2
Viveiro
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1
Montaneros
13 Sept
Montaneros
2 : 3
Racing Club Villalbes
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
19 Aug
Montaneros
1 : 1
Compostela
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Estradense

(Away)
27 Sept
Celtiga
2 : 0
Estradense
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1
Montaneros
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)