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Montaneros vs Silva SD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Balsa J.
26' Event
Belkalcha B.
Own Goal
67' Event
Parafita R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Montaneros and Silva SD finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montaneros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Montaneros
20%
Draws
50%
Silva SD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Silva SD haven't matched Montaneros's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Montaneros a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Montaneros Clean Sheet 10%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montaneros Silva SD
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Montaneros vs Silva SD
4:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Montaneros
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montaneros Compare

Top Goalscorer Balsa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Silva SD Compare

Top Goalscorer Parafita R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montaneros 34 / 100
Silva SD 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montaneros Silva SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montaneros scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Silva SD has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Montaneros remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montaneros VS Silva SD
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montaneros

(Home)
03 Oct
Alondras
0 : 1
Montaneros
27 Sept
Montaneros
1 : 2
Viveiro
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1
Montaneros
13 Sept
Montaneros
2 : 3
Racing Club Villalbes
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
Page 1 of 6

Silva SD

(Away)
03 Oct
Silva SD
0 : 0
Racing Club Villalbes
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
19 Sept
Silva SD
0 : 2
CD Boiro
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)