Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montanesa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Montanesa lately — more wins on the board than Gramenet.
- Montanesa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 20%
Gramenet Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montanesa | Gramenet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.05 | 0.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Gramenet
1:0
Sep 11, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Montanesa
0:1
Apr 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Gramenet
1:1
Nov 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs Montanesa
2:1
Apr 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Gramenet
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montanesa 85 / 100
Gramenet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montanesa Gramenet
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montanesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Gramenet conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
Montanesa's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 40 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Montanesa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Montanesa VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Montanesa
(Home) 27 Sept
CE Europa B
1 : 0 Montanesa
20 Sept
Montanesa
1 : 0 FE Grama
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1 Montanesa
06 Sept
Montanesa
3 : 0 San Juan Atletico de Montcada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0 Montanesa
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Montanesa
1 : 0 FE Grama
06 Sept
Montanesa
3 : 0 San Juan Atletico de Montcada
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1 UE Vic
19 Apr
Montanesa
2 : 0 CE Manresa
02 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 2 FE Grama
Page 1 of 4
Gramenet
(Away) 11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0 Gramenet
04 May
Gramenet
1 : 0 UE Figueres
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1 Gramenet
27 Apr
Gramenet
3 : 1 Manlleu AEC
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1 Gramenet
Page 1 of 7
11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0 Gramenet
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1 Gramenet
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1 Gramenet
06 Apr
UE Castelldefels
3 : 0 Gramenet
23 Mar
Santboia
0 : 0 Gramenet
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olot | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 66:29 | 79 |
| 2 | Cornella | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 70:35 | 79 |
| 3 | CE Europa | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 55:25 | 75 |
| 4 | Manlleu AEC | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 46:29 | 65 |
| 5 | UE Figueres | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 52:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Terrassa | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 47:36 | 57 |
| 7 | Pobla Mafumet | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 49:50 | 52 |
| 8 | UE Rapitenca | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 46:39 | 52 |
| 9 | Gramenet | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 34:33 | 49 |
| 10 | Gava | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | 48 |
| 11 | UE Rubi | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 58:52 | 47 |
| 12 | Palamos CF | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 48:55 | 46 |
| 13 | UE Castelldefels | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 31:45 | 45 |
| 14 | Vilassar de Mar | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:47 | 44 |
| 15 | Santboia | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:47 | 42 |
| 16 | FC Vilafranca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 35:53 | 42 |
| 17 | Montanesa | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 32:49 | 40 |
| 18 | Jupiter | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 41:59 | 37 |
| 19 | UE Vic | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 40:61 | 36 |
| 20 | Balaguer | 38 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 35:77 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
