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Montanesa vs Peralada

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Traore A.
39' Event
Traore A.
44' Event
Traore A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Montanesa and Peralada finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montanesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Montanesa
20%
Draws
58%
Peralada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Peralada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montanesa come out ahead of Peralada on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Peralada's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 19%
Peralada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montanesa Peralada
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.96 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Montanesa
5:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Peralada
3:1
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Montanesa
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Peralada
0:0
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Montanesa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montanesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Peralada Compare

Top Goalscorer Omar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montanesa 10 / 100
Peralada 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montanesa Peralada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peralada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montanesa scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Peralada has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Montanesa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montanesa VS Peralada
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montanesa

(Home)
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1
UE Vic
25 Apr
L Hospitalet
1 : 0
Montanesa
19 Apr
Montanesa
2 : 0
CE Manresa
12 Apr
CE Europa B
4 : 2
Montanesa
Page 1 of 6

Peralada

(Away)
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 2
Peralada
26 Apr
Peralada
1 : 1
Can Vidalet
19 Apr
Peralada
1 : 0
UE Vic
12 Apr
L Hospitalet
3 : 0
Peralada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)