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Montauban W vs Clermont W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de France Women 2023/2024
Montauban W Logo

Montauban W

2 - 0
FT
Clermont W Logo

Clermont W

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Gauvin V.
87' Event
Guermazi S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Montauban W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Montauban W
15%
Draws
0%
Clermont W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montauban W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montauban W come out ahead of Clermont W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Montauban W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Montauban W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Montauban W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Montauban W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Montauban W Clean Sheet 10%
Clermont W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montauban W Clermont W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 2 2
Losses 20 23
Goals Scored 1.84 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Coupe de France Women
Montauban W vs Clermont W
2:0
Mar 26, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Clermont W vs Montauban W
2:1
Oct 23, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Montauban W vs Clermont W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montauban W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gauvin V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guermazi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Clermont W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montauban W 83 / 100
Clermont W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montauban W Clermont W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montauban W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montauban W's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Clermont W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Clermont W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Montauban W VS Clermont W
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montauban W

(Home)
26 May
Metz W
3 : 2
Montauban W
19 May
Montauban W
2 : 4
Thonon Evian W
12 May
Montauban W
1 : 2
Rodez AF W
28 Apr
Orleans W
2 : 1
Montauban W
21 Apr
Montauban W
1 : 0
Nice W
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Clermont W

(Away)
12 Jan
Clermont W
0 : 6
Dijon W
14 Jan
Montauban W
2 : 0
Clermont W
10 Sept
Orleans W
4 : 1
Clermont W
28 May
Clermont W
0 : 2
Marseille W
21 May
Thonon Evian W
7 : 0
Clermont W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Brest W 6
Beauvais W 0
Montauban W 2
Clermont W 0
OL Lyonnes W 4
Montpellier W 0
Bourges 18 W 0
Nantes W 1
Fleury 91 W 2
Guingamp W 0
Bastiais W 0
Dijon W 10
Le Mans W 2
Lille W 3
Genas Azieu W 0
Marseille W 3
Orvault W 0
Le Havre W 3
Paris FC W 3
Bordeaux W 0
Saint-Maur W 0
Lens W 4
Nice W 0
Strasbourg W 1
Stade Auxerrois W 0
Le Puy W 1
Roubaix W 0
Reims W 5
Toulouse W 1
St Etienne W 3
CPB Brequigny W 0
PSG W 4
1/8-finals
Brest W 3
Montauban W 4
OL Lyonnes W 6
Nantes W 0
Fleury 91 W 4
Dijon W 1
Lille W 4
Marseille W 2
Le Havre W 0
Paris FC W 2
Lens W 2
Strasbourg W 1
Le Puy W 2
Reims W 1
St Etienne W 1
PSG W 2
Quarter-finals
Montauban W 2
OL Lyonnes W 9
Fleury 91 W 5
Lille W 1
Paris FC W 4
Lens W 0
Le Puy W 0
PSG W 4
Semi-finals
OL Lyonnes W 0
Fleury 91 W 1
Paris FC W 3
PSG W 4
Final
Fleury 91 W 0
PSG W 1